S&P 500
2018 Earnings Growth Estimate is 20%, But 2019 Earnings Growth Estimate is 10%
For the third quarter, companies are reporting earnings growth of 22.5% and revenue growth of 7.6%. While analysts
currently expect earnings to grow at double-digit levels for Q4, they also expect more moderate growth in early 2019.
For Q4 2018, analysts are projecting earnings growth of 16.1% and revenue growth of 6.3%.
For CY 2018, analysts are projecting earnings growth of 20.5% and revenue growth of 8.2%.
For Q1 2019, analysts are projecting earnings growth of 6.5% and revenue growth of 6.6%.
For Q2 2019, analysts are projecting earnings growth of 6.8% and revenue growth of 5.1%.
For CY 2019, analysts are projecting earnings growth of 10.0% and revenue growth of 5.4%.
Valuation: Forward P/E Ratio is 15.5, above the 10-Year Average (14.5)
The forward 12-month P/E ratio is 15.5. This P/E ratio is below the 5-year average of 16.4, but above the 10-year
average of 14.5. It is also below the forward 12-month P/E ratio of 16.8 recorded at the start of the fourth quarter
(September 30).
Since the start of the fourth quarter, the price of the index has decreased by 7.2%, while the forward
12-month EPS estimate has increased by 0.8%.
At the sector level, the Consumer Discretionary (20.3) sector has the highest forward 12-month P/E ratio, while the
Financials (11.3) sector has the lowest forward 12-month P/E ratio.
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